Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $5M in 24h volume, and $1.4M in liquidity.
Probability
19%
24h Volume
$5M
Liquidity
$1.4M
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
18.5%
Change
-5%
High
23.5%
Low
18.5%
Maja Chwalinska moved from 23.5% to 18.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 18.5% and 23.5%.
Maja Chwalinska price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about a single first-round-style tennis match at Roland Garros in the WTA draw: Maja Chwalinska against Mirra Andreeva. It matters because the settlement depends on who officially advances, and tennis markets can turn on the match actually being played, completed, or interrupted by retirement, walkover, or delay.
The question here is simple: which player advances from the Roland Garros WTA match between Maja Chwalinska and Mirra Andreeva, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Maja Chwalinska if she advances, or to Mirra Andreeva if she advances. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50; if play begins and one player advances because of retirement, default, or disqualification, the advancing player gets the win for settlement.
A tennis match can be straightforward on paper and still leave room for uncertainty in practice. The key questions are not just who is the stronger player, but whether both players take the court, whether the match is completed normally, and whether Roland Garros/WTA official results show an advance, retirement, or no contest for settlement purposes. That is why the market is focused on one specific pairing and a specific tournament date instead of a broader season outlook.
Anything that changes the expected winner of this match can move the price, especially lineup or fitness information, pre-match withdrawals, or confirmation that the match is actually underway. If one player is announced as unavailable, medically limited, or replaced in the draw, the market can shift quickly because the settlement rules treat some outcomes very differently from a standard completed match. Live on-court developments matter too: a retirement or disqualification after the match starts resolves to the player who advances, while a pre-match walkover is treated as 50-50 under these rules.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 19% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market settles, readers should check the official WTA Tour result for the match and whether it was completed, abandoned, or not played at all. The important ambiguity is the difference between a walkover before start, a retirement after start, and a delay or cancellation that lasts more than 7 days from the scheduled date, because each outcome has a different resolution rule. The scheduled date and the end date shown on the market page give the window to watch, but the final source of truth is the official match status and result used by the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva. The market currently shows a live probability of 19%, $5M in 24h volume, and $1.4M in liquidity.
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Maja Chwalinska
18.5%
Mirra Andreeva
81.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Mirra Andreeva in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maja Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Mirra Andreeva. This market will resolve to 'Mirra Andreeva' if Mirra Andreeva advances against Maja Chwalinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 19%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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