Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Dart vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $46.5 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$46.5
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+59%
High
100%
Low
22%
Over moved from 41% to 100% over the last day, trading between 22% and 100%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
44 points
This market is about the total number of games in Harriet Dart vs. Liudmila Samsonova at the HSBC Championships, with the line set at 22.5 games. It is a straightforward tennis scoring question: if the match finishes with 23 or more completed games, the market resolves Over; if it finishes with 22 or fewer, it resolves Under.
The matchup is Harriet Dart against Liudmila Samsonova in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. The settlement rule is based on official WTA statistics and counts all completed games across all sets, with every tiebreak — including a Champions super tiebreak — counting as one game toward the total. If the match starts but does not finish, or if it is canceled before play begins or delayed more than seven days without a result, the market resolves 50-50.
Tennis totals depend on how competitive the match is, whether either player serves comfortably, and whether the scoreline stays tight enough to reach a long set or a deciding set. Dart and Samsonova are the named players because their styles, form, and match competitiveness directly affect whether this total lands above or below 22.5 games. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether this match will be routine or extended.
Any confirmed update about the match actually being played, delayed, shortened, or not completed can move the market because the rules treat those outcomes differently. A close first set, a tiebreak, or a split set scoreline would naturally push expectations toward the Over, while a one-sided match in straight sets would point toward the Under. Since the result is tied to official WTA scoring, any change in the official status or completion of the match matters more than informal score updates.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check whether the match started, whether it finished in full, and what the official WTA scoreline shows. The key ambiguity is the 50-50 fallback: if play is interrupted before completion, or if the match is canceled or delayed beyond seven days without a result, the settlement is not based on the partial score. Readers should also note the tiebreak rule, because those points are counted as one game in the total and can determine whether the final number clears 22.5.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Dart vs. Samsonova: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $46.5 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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