Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Harriet Dart vs. Liudmila Samsonova: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $44 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$44
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+62.5%
High
100%
Low
37%
Over 2.5 moved from 37.5% to 100% over the last day, trading between 37% and 100%.
Over 2.5 price history from Polymarket CLOB.
44 points
This market asks whether Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova will play a best-of-three-sets match that reaches at least a third set at the HSBC Championships. In tennis, that can happen through three full sets or, under the market rules, a super tie-break that counts as one set for settlement. The page is worth watching because the outcome depends on the match being completed, the official WTA scoreline, and whether the contest stays within the tournament’s normal format.
The event is the Harriet Dart vs. Liudmila Samsonova match listed for the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The question is simple: will the official match result contain three or more completed sets, which would settle to Over 2.5, or fewer than three, which would settle to Under 2.5. If the match starts but does not finish, or if it is canceled before play or delayed beyond seven days without a result, the market resolves 50-50 under the rules provided.
Tennis set totals can be uncertain even before first ball, because the outcome depends on how competitive the match is, whether one player wins quickly, and whether the match is interrupted. Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova are both established WTA players, so a straight-sets result is possible, but a long match is also plausible if their styles produce tight sets. The market is therefore pricing the chance that this specific matchup reaches a deciding third set rather than ending in two.
Anything that changes expectations for match length can move this market, especially official lineup or withdrawal news before play begins. If one player is confirmed out, the match is postponed, or the event format changes in a way that affects completion, the settlement path can shift quickly. Once the match starts, the live score matters most: a one-sided opening set pushes attention toward Under, while split sets, long games, or a super tie-break scenario make Over more likely under the market’s rules.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check that the match is officially started and whether it finishes with an official WTA result, since unfinished matches can trigger the market’s 50-50 rule. The key source of truth is the WTA’s official statistics and final scoreline, not informal score updates. Also note the deadline language: if the match is canceled before play or not resolved within seven days of the scheduled date, the market does not settle as a normal Over or Under result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Harriet Dart vs. Liudmila Samsonova: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $44 in 24h volume.
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Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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