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Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $560.5K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$560.5K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+81.5%
High
100%
Low
15%
Harriet Dart moved from 18.5% to 100% over the last 6 hours, trading between 15% and 100%.
Harriet Dart price history from Polymarket CLOB.
15 points
This market is about a specific WTA match at the HSBC Championships between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova. Because tennis matches are settled by one player advancing, the key question is simply who officially wins under the tournament’s records. The schedule and the tournament’s own result reporting matter here because the market has explicit rules for cancellations, retirements, walkovers, and delays.
The title names two players, Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova, and the event is the HSBC Championships, with the match originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to Harriet Dart if she advances against Samsonova, and to Liudmila Samsonova if Samsonova advances against Dart. If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than seven days without a winner, the market goes 50-50 instead of choosing a side.
A tennis matchup can be uncertain for a few different reasons: form, fitness, lineup changes, and the possibility that the match never finishes in the usual way. That is especially important here because the rules separate a normal completed win from edge cases like retirement, default, disqualification, cancellation, and walkover. Readers following this market are really tracking whether the WTA records Dart or Samsonova as the player who officially advances, or whether settlement falls back to 50-50 under the listed exceptions.
Anything that changes the chance of one player advancing can move this market, especially official draw updates, withdrawal news, or signs that one player is unable to start the match. Once the match begins, in-play developments such as a retirement, default, or disqualification can matter a lot because the market resolves to the player who advances if the match is started but not completed. If the match is postponed past the seven-day window, canceled outright, or ends as a pre-match walkover, the settlement rules point to 50-50 instead of a winner.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the official WTA Tour result, since the rules say that is the primary resolution source. Before the market settles, check whether the match was actually played, who was officially declared the advancing player, and whether any retirement, default, disqualification, or walkover occurred. The deadline details also matter: a delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date can trigger the 50-50 outcome, so readers should confirm both the match status and the timing of any rescheduling.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $560.5K in 24h volume.
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Harriet Dart
100%
Liudmila Samsonova
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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