Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $574.7K in 24h volume, and $175.6K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$574.7K
Liquidity
$175.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-42.4%
High
42.5%
Low
0.1%
Rebeka Masarova moved from 42.5% to 0.1% over the last month, trading between 0.1% and 42.5%.
Rebeka Masarova price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market is about a specific WTA match in Birmingham between Alexandra Eala and Rebeka Masarova. Because the settlement depends on who officially advances, it is worth watching the match status as much as the on-court result. The listed prices suggest the market is already leaning heavily toward Eala, but the final outcome still depends on how the WTA records the match.
The question here is simple: who advances in the Birmingham match, Alexandra Eala or Rebeka Masarova. Birmingham in this context refers to the tennis event, and the scheduled start time in the market description is June 6, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. If Eala advances, the market resolves to Alexandra Eala; if Masarova advances, it resolves to Rebeka Masarova.
Tennis markets like this can turn on match completion, retirements, defaults, walkovers, or scheduling changes, not just final set scores. That is especially relevant here because the rules spell out different outcomes for a played match, a match that begins but ends early, and a match that never starts. Readers care because the official advancement result, not informal expectations, is what determines settlement.
Any confirmed lineup change, withdrawal, injury report, or warm-up absence could shift expectations quickly because the market is tied to whether the match is actually played and who advances. If the match starts and one player retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the advancing player becomes the settlement winner under these rules. Delays beyond seven days from the scheduled date, or a pre-match walkover, would push the market toward the 50-50 outcome instead of either player.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important source of truth is the WTA Tour, since the description says official WTA information is primary for resolution. Before the market closes, check whether the match was actually played, whether either player withdrew before start, and whether there was a retirement or disqualification after play began. The one ambiguity to watch is that a walkover resolves differently from an in-match retirement, so the timing of any withdrawal matters a lot.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Rebeka Masarova. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $574.7K in 24h volume, and $175.6K in liquidity.
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Alexandra Eala
100%
Rebeka Masarova
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexandra Eala and Rebeka Masarova in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 6, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexandra Eala' if Alexandra Eala advances against Rebeka Masarova. This market will resolve to 'Rebeka Masarova' if Rebeka Masarova advances against Alexandra Eala. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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