Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kasatkina vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $89 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$89
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-0.5%
High
50.5%
Low
42%
Over moved from 50.5% to 50% over the last month, trading between 42% and 50.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market asks whether Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery will play at least 23 total games in their Libema Open match. Because tennis match totals can swing sharply with one tight set or a straight-sets win, the over/under line is a practical way to frame how long and competitive this specific matchup might be.
The settlement question is simple: count every completed game in the Kasatkina vs. Montgomery match at the Libema Open, and resolve to Over if the final total is 23 games or more. The match was originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, and the official source of truth is WTA match statistics. A tiebreak counts as one game for settlement purposes, including any Champions or super tiebreak if one is played.
This market exists because tennis scorelines can be hard to forecast before first serve, especially when a favorite faces a player whose serve, return, or form could keep sets close. Kasatkina is a familiar WTA name and Montgomery is the kind of opponent who can make a match more variable than a standard matchup, so the key disagreement is whether this finishes quickly or drifts into a longer, game-heavy contest. The displayed pricing is leaning strongly toward Over, which suggests the market expects at least one competitive set or a match format that pushes the game total higher.
The biggest price mover will be the actual match flow: a routine straight-sets win with short sets points toward Under, while two long sets or any three-set match pushes toward Over. Because tiebreaks count as one game, a set that reaches 6-6 can materially raise the total without requiring a third set. Any change in the official status of the match—delay, cancellation, a retirement after the match begins, or a postponed start beyond the seven-day window—matters as well because those outcomes can trigger the 50-50 settlement rule instead of a normal Over/Under result.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market settles, readers should verify that the match actually starts and completes, since an unfinished match is resolved 50-50 under the rules. The correct settlement source is the official WTA statistics page, not unofficial scoreboards, and the key criterion is total completed games across all sets, with each tiebreak counted as one game. If there is a late schedule change, walkover, retirement, or long delay beyond seven days from the scheduled date, that could override the usual score-based outcome and change how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kasatkina vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 22.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $89 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
