Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kasatkina vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $89 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$89
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
63.5%
Low
0.1%
Under moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last week, trading between 0.1% and 63.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks whether the Daria Kasatkina vs. Robin Montgomery match at the Libema Open will produce at least 24 total games. It is a straightforward way to follow whether the contest turns into a short straight-sets result or a longer match with multiple extended sets. Because tennis scoring can swing quickly with one tiebreak or a tight third set, the game total is often more informative than the winner alone.
The title points to a women’s singles match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery at the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. The market settles on the total number of games completed across all sets: 24 or more games means Over, while 23 or fewer means Under. Tiebreaks count as one game each, including a Champions Super tiebreak if one is used, and official WTA statistics are the source of truth.
Kasatkina and Montgomery can produce very different match shapes depending on serve quality, return pressure, and whether one player controls the baseline exchanges. A match can clear 23.5 games through two very close sets, or fall short if someone wins comfortably in straight sets. The market is pricing that uncertainty about set length, not just who advances.
The biggest drivers are pre-match and in-match signals that suggest a tight scoreline: a first-set tiebreak, repeated holds of serve, or both players protecting serve through long games. By contrast, early breaks, a one-sided set, or any sign that one player is struggling physically would push expectations toward fewer games. If the match format changes in practice through a retirement, suspension, or a shortened completed result, the settlement outcome can change sharply because unfinished matches resolve 50-50 under the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should verify that the match is actually played and completed, since an unfinished match or a cancellation before play can trigger the 50-50 rule. The settlement will be based on the official WTA match record, so the final game count and whether any tiebreak was used matter more than informal score reports. The scheduled date is June 8, 2026, and the market’s end date extends to June 15, 2026 in case the match is delayed or rescheduled within the rule window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Kasatkina vs. Montgomery: Match O/U 23.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $89 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
