Sports
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Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $411.4 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$411.4
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+46%
High
100%
Low
50%
Montgomery moved from 54% to 100% over the last day, trading between 50% and 100%.
Montgomery price history from Polymarket CLOB.
31 points
This market is about the women’s singles match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery at the Libema Open. The question is not simply who wins, but whether Kasatkina covers a set handicap of -1.5, which requires her to win by at least two sets more than Montgomery in the final official score.
The title, "Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5)," refers to a tennis handicapping line rather than a straight match winner market. Under the rules provided, the market resolves to "Kasatkina" if Daria Kasatkina wins the match by 2 or more sets compared with Robin Montgomery; otherwise it resolves to "Montgomery." The match is listed as part of the Libema Open and was originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET, with official WTA results used for settlement.
A set handicap can behave differently from a simple moneyline because it depends on the margin of victory, not just the winner. That means a close three-set match, a retirement, or any incomplete result can push the outcome away from the straightforward match favorite, which is why the market has its own uncertainty. Readers following this page are mainly watching whether Kasatkina can win decisively enough to clear the line, or whether Montgomery can keep the match close enough to avoid that outcome.
Anything that changes expectations for the final scoreline can move this market, especially pre-match lineup or fitness information that affects how strongly one player might perform over multiple sets. Because the Libema Open is a WTA event and the settlement depends on the completed official score, a straight-set win, a three-set match, a retirement, or a postponed/canceled match all matter here in a way they would not in a simple winner market. If play begins but does not finish, the rules say the market resolves 50-50, so the status of the match itself is just as important as the on-court score.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is the final completed score reported by the official WTA results, since that is the source of truth for settlement. Also watch whether the match actually starts and finishes, because a started-but-uncompleted match resolves 50-50 under these rules, and the same applies if the match is canceled before play or delayed more than seven days beyond the scheduled date without a result. The market’s resolution window runs to June 15, 2026, so any official completion, retirement, or cancellation inside that period can determine how it settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Montgomery (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $411.4 in 24h volume.
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Kasatkina
0%
Montgomery
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kasatkina" if Daria Kasatkina wins by 2 or more sets than Robin Montgomery, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Montgomery." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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