Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Daria Kasatkina vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
This market is about the WTA Libema Open match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery, with settlement based on the total number of sets completed. Because the line is 2.5 sets, the key question is whether the match is a straight-sets result or goes to a deciding set, with a super tie-break counted as one set under the rules.
The event is the women’s singles match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET at the Libema Open. The market resolves to Over 2.5 if the match finishes with at least three sets completed, and to Under 2.5 if it ends in two sets or fewer; if the match starts but is not completed, or if it is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond seven days without a result, it resolves 50-50. Resolution is based on official WTA statistics, and the rules specifically say a super tie-break counts as one set for this market.
Tennis set markets are often driven by whether a matchup looks competitive enough to produce a third set, or whether one player is likely to win in straight sets. Kasatkina and Montgomery are the named players that matter here because their playing styles, form, and matchup dynamics can affect how likely a long match is, even before a ball is struck. The market is essentially pricing the chance that this Libema Open match gets extended beyond two completed sets under the official scoring rules.
Any confirmed change to the match status can move this market quickly, especially if the start time shifts, a player withdraws, or the match is suspended. Once play begins, early set results are the biggest driver: a one-set lead, a medical timeout, or a tight second-set finish can all change whether a deciding set looks likely. If the tournament uses a super tie-break in place of a full third set, that still counts as one set here, so the exact format and official scoring path matter a lot.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check whether the match is actually played on the scheduled date and whether it reaches a completed result, since an unfinished match or a long delay can trigger the 50-50 rule. The source of truth is the official WTA match record, not informal score updates, because settlement depends on official statistics and the exact number of completed sets. Readers should also verify whether the match format uses a super tie-break in a way that affects the final set count, since the market counts that as one set.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Daria Kasatkina vs. Robin Montgomery: Total Sets O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
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Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA statistics.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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