Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $464.4K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$464.4K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-72.4%
High
90%
Low
0.1%
Daria Kasatkina moved from 72.5% to 0.1% over the last 6 hours, trading between 0.1% and 90%.
Daria Kasatkina price history from Polymarket CLOB.
15 points
This market is about a first-round-style WTA match at the Libema Open between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery. Tennis match markets like this are usually driven by who actually takes the court, who wins, and whether the match is completed under tour rules, so the key uncertainty is tied to the scheduled June 8, 2026 contest and any changes to it.
The question here is straightforward: does Daria Kasatkina or Robin Montgomery advance from their match at the Libema Open? The market is scheduled around June 8, 2026 at 6:30 AM ET, and it resolves based on the official WTA Tour result for that matchup. If Kasatkina advances, the market resolves to her; if Montgomery advances, it resolves to Montgomery.
Even a single tennis match can carry uncertainty because player form, surface fit, fitness, and late lineup changes all matter, and grass-court events like the Libema Open can be especially sensitive to conditions and timing. The market is pricing the chance that one player wins on the day, but it also has explicit settlement rules for cancellations, walkovers, retirements, and long delays, which can matter as much as the on-court result.
The biggest price movers are official changes to the match itself: a confirmed withdrawal, a walkover, a retirement during play, or a completed match result. Any update from the WTA draw, the tournament schedule, or credible match reporting can also shift expectations, especially if one player is listed as injured, unavailable, or replaced in the draw. Because the event is on grass at the Libema Open, pre-match lineup and availability information is especially relevant.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market settles, readers should verify whether the match is actually played, whether it finishes normally, and which player is officially recorded by the WTA as advancing. The rules matter here: a canceled match, a tie, or a delay beyond seven days without a winner leads to a 50-50 resolution, while a walkover before the start also resolves to 50-50. If play starts but does not finish, the advancing player gets the win for settlement purposes, so the official source of truth is the WTA Tour result, with credible reporting only as a backup if needed.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Robin Montgomery. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $464.4K in 24h volume.
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Daria Kasatkina
0%
Robin Montgomery
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Robin Montgomery in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Robin Montgomery. This market will resolve to 'Robin Montgomery' if Robin Montgomery advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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