Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pohankova vs. Tauson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $73.9 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$73.9
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
30.5%
Change
-19.5%
High
53.5%
Low
30%
Under moved from 50% to 30.5% over the last month, trading between 30% and 53.5%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks how many games Mia Pohankova and Clara Tauson will play in the first set of their Libema Open match. Because the line is 8.5 games, the result hinges on whether the set ends quickly, reaches 6-3 or 5-4, or goes to a tiebreak. For a tennis page like this, the key question is not who wins the match overall, but how competitive the opening set looks on the official WTA scoreline.
The title names Mia Pohankova and Clara Tauson in a women’s singles match at the Libema Open, with the scheduled start listed as June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Over if the first set finishes with 9 or more games, and Under if it ends with 8 or fewer; a first-set tiebreak counts as one game toward that total. If the first set is unfinished, or if the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed more than seven days without starting, the market settles 50-50 rather than to either side.
A first-set games line depends on both players holding serve, breaking early, or forcing a tiebreak, so there is genuine uncertainty even before the match begins. Clara Tauson is the more established name in the pairing, but tennis sets can swing on serve quality, early nerves, or brief momentum shifts, which is why a simple over/under on games can be closely watched. Readers should care because the outcome is determined by the exact first-set score, not by the final match winner or by how the second set unfolds.
Any confirmed lineup or withdrawal issue before the match can change expectations quickly, especially if one player is removed or the start is pushed back. Once play begins, early breaks of serve, a 6-0 or 6-1 set, or a long hold-for-hold opening that trends toward 6-4, 7-5, or a tiebreak will all push the market in different directions. Because the settlement depends only on the first set, live price movement should track the opening games much more closely than the overall match score.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth is the official WTA result for this match, since the market resolves from the official first-set score rather than commentary or unofficial scoreboards. Before settlement, check whether the match actually starts, whether the first set is completed, and whether any tiebreak occurs, since tiebreaks count as one game in the total. The market also has a special fallback: if the set is not completed for any reason, or if the match is canceled before play or delayed beyond seven days without commencing, it resolves 50-50 instead of Over or Under.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pohankova vs. Tauson: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $73.9 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Clara Tauson in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 9. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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