Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pohankova vs. Tauson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$25
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+50%
High
100%
Low
46%
Over moved from 50% to 100% over the last week, trading between 46% and 100%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
24 points
This market tracks the first set of the WTA Libema Open match between Mia Pohankova and Clara Tauson. The question is simple: will the opening set finish with 10 or more games, or will it stay at 9 games or fewer? The page is especially sensitive to how competitive the first set is, because a single break of serve or a tiebreak can change the result quickly.
Pohankova and Tauson are scheduled to meet at the Libema Open, a grass-court event on the WTA calendar, with the match originally listed for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market resolves to Over if the first set reaches at least 10 total games; for example, 6-4, 7-5, or any tiebreak set would qualify, since a tiebreak counts as one game in the total. If the first set is never completed, or if the match is canceled or delayed beyond the stated window without starting, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either side.
First-set game totals often hinge on early serve quality, break chances, and whether both players hold comfortably on grass. Clara Tauson is the more established name, while Mia Pohankova may be less familiar to casual readers, which leaves room for uncertainty about how close the opening set will be. The market is therefore pricing a very specific question about match shape rather than the final winner.
The biggest price mover is whether the first few games are tight on serve or produce an early break. If the set reaches 5-4, 6-4, or 6-5, the Over becomes much more likely; if one player races ahead 6-2 or 6-3, the Under gains ground. Any sign that the match is shortened, interrupted, or not completed matters too, because the rules say an unfinished first set settles 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official WTA match record for the final first-set score, because that is the source of truth for settlement. The key details to verify are whether the first set was completed, whether any tiebreak was played, and whether the match started on time or was delayed/canceled under the market rules. The end date on the market is June 15, 2026, and any case where the match never begins or the first set is abandoned must be handled under the special 50-50 rule rather than a normal Over/Under result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pohankova vs. Tauson: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25 in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mia Pohankova and Clara Tauson in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 10. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market
