Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Completed Match: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $34.9 in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$34.9
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple but specific tennis question: did Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa finish their Libema Open match under normal play, with a winner decided on court? Because tennis matches can end early through retirements, walkovers, cancellations, or lengthy delays, the settlement hinges less on who was favored and more on whether the match was fully completed.
The event is the Libema Open match between Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves “Yes” only if the match is played through all required games and sets and a winner is determined by the governing body or event rules. If either player withdraws, retires, walks over, the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is still undecided more than 7 days after the scheduled date, it resolves “No.”
Tennis creates a lot of settlement uncertainty because a match can look likely to be played and still fail to finish for reasons unrelated to the score. That is especially relevant in a tournament setting like the Libema Open, where schedule changes, injuries, or mid-match retirements can affect whether the contest reaches a normal conclusion. The market is effectively pricing disagreement about completion risk, not the competitive outcome of Snigur vs. Badosa.
Anything that clarifies whether the match was actually completed should move this market, especially an official result line from the event or governing body. A retirement, walkover, abandonment, weather interruption that prevents completion, or a correction to the official scoring would push settlement toward “No,” while a confirmed completed final score would support “Yes.” Because the market is already extremely one-sided, even small changes in official status can matter more than ordinary pre-match tennis news.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key things to verify are the official match record, whether the scoreline is marked complete, and whether either player is listed as retired, withdrawn, or a walkover. The primary source of truth is the event’s official statistics as recognized by the organizer or governing body; if those final stats are not posted within 2 hours after the match ends, credible reporting can be used instead. Readers should also note the 7-day cutoff from the scheduled date, since an unresolved delay beyond that window settles “No” even if the match was intended to be played later.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Completed Match: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $34.9 in 24h volume.
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Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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