Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Snigur vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.2 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$33.2
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-49.9%
High
59%
Low
0.1%
Over moved from 50% to 0.1% over the last day, trading between 0.1% and 59%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
44 points
This market asks a simple tennis scoring question about Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa at the Libema Open: how many games will be played in the first set of their match? Because it settles on a specific set total rather than the match winner, it is sensitive to how competitive the opening set is and whether either player starts quickly.
The event is the WTA match between Snigur and Badosa, listed for the Libema Open on June 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to Over if the first set reaches at least 11 games, which means scores like 6-5, 7-5, or any tiebreak set qualify; otherwise it resolves Under. If the first set is unfinished, the match is canceled before play begins, or play does not start within seven days, the market resolves 50-50, and the official WTA result is the source of truth.
First-set game totals can swing sharply depending on serve quality, early breaks, and whether the set goes to a tiebreak, so there is real uncertainty even before the match starts. Snigur and Badosa are the named players because their style, fitness, and readiness on a given day can affect how long the opening set lasts, and the Libema Open surface and match conditions may also matter. Traders are effectively pricing whether the first set is likely to stay short and decisive or stretch to 11 games or more.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening set can move this market: a lineup or withdrawal update, a late start, or news that one player is not fully fit. In-match, an early break, a run of easy service holds, or a first-set tiebreak would all push the total toward the Over, while one-sided play that ends the set 6-2, 6-3, or 6-4 would favor the Under. Because the market is tied to official first-set completion, a retirement or suspension before the set ends can also matter for settlement.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check that the match actually begins and that the first set finishes under WTA official scoring. The key rule to verify is the first-set games total, with the special treatment that a tiebreak counts as one game and an incomplete first set triggers a 50-50 settlement. The deadline on the page runs through June 15, 2026, but the practical resolution depends on whether play starts and whether the first set is completed within the stated window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Snigur vs. Badosa: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $33.2 in 24h volume.
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Over
0%
Under
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
View market