Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Snigur (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $330.4 in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$330.4
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
70%
Change
+20%
High
70%
Low
49.5%
Snigur moved from 50% to 70% over the full available history, trading between 49.5% and 70%.
Snigur price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market is about a women’s tennis match at the Libema Open between Paula Badosa and Daria Snigur, with the outcome tied to a set handicap rather than simple match winner. That matters because a player can lose the match but still cover or fail to cover the listed handicap depending on the final scoreline.
The page tracks the scheduled WTA match between Paula Badosa and Daria Snigur at the Libema Open, originally set for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The settlement rule is specific: it resolves to "Badosa" if Badosa wins by 2 or more sets more than Snigur, and to "Snigur" otherwise, using the final completed score and official WTA results. If the match starts but is not finished, or if it is canceled before play begins or pushed beyond 7 days without a result, the market resolves 50-50.
A set handicap creates uncertainty that is different from a straight winner market, because tennis matches can swing on whether one player wins in straight sets, drops a set, or the match is interrupted. Readers care because Badosa and Snigur are the named players, the Libema Open is the tournament setting, and the exact scoreline determines which side settles. The disagreement in the market is about whether Badosa can clear a two-set margin under the official scoring outcome, not just whether she advances or wins the match.
Any confirmed change to the match status would matter first: an official postponement, a walkover, a retirement after the match begins, or completion of the match can all change settlement under the rules. Before play, lineup-style information in tennis is usually about fitness, withdrawals, or whether the match is still on the schedule, since those details can affect whether the handicap is likely to be covered or whether the market could end up 50-50. During the match, the live score, set count, and any retirement indicator are the key drivers because the market depends directly on the final completed score.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check the official WTA result for the match, since the rules say that source controls settlement. The most important ambiguity is whether the match was fully completed; if it was not, the market does not settle as a normal win/loss outcome and instead goes 50-50 under the stated rules. Also verify the original timing against the June 15, 2026 deadline window, because a match delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a result is treated the same way as a non-completed event.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Set Handicap: Badosa (-1.5) vs Snigur (+1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $330.4 in 24h volume.
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Badosa
0%
Snigur
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Daria Snigur in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Badosa" if Paula Badosa wins by 2 or more sets than Daria Snigur, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Snigur." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Liquidity
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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