Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $596K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$596K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+49.5%
High
100%
Low
45.5%
Daria Snigur moved from 50.5% to 100% over the last week, trading between 45.5% and 100%.
Daria Snigur price history from Polymarket CLOB.
24 points
This market is about a first-round style tennis matchup at the Libema Open between Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa. Because tennis settles by a single match result, the key question is simply which player advances, with a fallback to 50-50 only if the match is not completed under the market’s rules.
The event is the Libema Open match titled Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. The market resolves to Daria Snigur if she advances, and to Paula Badosa if she advances; if the match is canceled, never played, ends in a tie, or remains unresolved more than seven days past the scheduled date, it goes to 50-50. One important rule difference to watch is that a walkover before the start also resolves to 50-50, while a retirement, default, or disqualification after the match begins counts for the player who advances.
Tennis matches can be uncertain even when one player is favored, because fitness, surface conditions, and late lineup changes can matter a lot over a short format. This market is effectively asking whether Snigur or Badosa will be the player who officially moves on at the Libema Open, and it also prices in the possibility that the match does not produce a normal finished result. The very one-sided live pricing suggests the market is treating Snigur as far more likely to advance, but the settlement rules still make it important to confirm how the match actually ends.
Anything that changes the likelihood of the match being played normally can move this market, especially a withdrawal, a late injury note, or an official change in the draw order. During the match, live score swings, a retirement, or a disqualification can matter as much as the final score because the settlement depends on who officially advances. If the match is postponed, delayed, or not completed within the market’s seven-day window, the resolution can shift away from a normal winner result and toward the 50-50 fallback.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important source of truth here is official WTA Tour information, with credible reporting as a backup if needed. Readers should check whether the match is actually played, whether either player withdraws before start, and whether the match is completed or stops mid-way with an official advancing player. Also verify the seven-day delay rule tied to the June 8 scheduled date, because a long postponement without a winner triggers the 50-50 settlement rather than a player win.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Paula Badosa. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $596K in 24h volume.
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Daria Snigur
100%
Paula Badosa
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Snigur and Paula Badosa in the Libema Open, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Snigur' if Daria Snigur advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Daria Snigur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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