crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$14.9K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will XRP finish above $1.20 on June 7, using Binance’s XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at exactly 12:00 noon ET. Because the contract keys off a single exchange feed and a single minute candle, the final result can differ from what traders see on other venues or at other times.
The event is tied to XRP, the payments-focused crypto asset, and the outcome is determined by whether Binance’s XRP/USDT candle for 12:00 ET on June 7 closes above $1.20. The resolution source is explicitly Binance’s chart data with the 1m timeframe and Candles view, so the relevant price is the Binance spot pair close, not a broader market average or another exchange’s quote. The market ends on the date in the title, and the precise close price at that minute decides Yes or No.
XRP can trade differently across exchanges, and short time windows can be affected by fast moves, thin liquidity, or temporary spikes. That creates uncertainty around whether the Binance close at one exact minute will clear a round threshold like $1.20. The market is essentially pricing disagreement about whether XRP will be strong enough at that specific moment to finish above the line.
For a market like this, the biggest drivers are the spot XRP price on Binance in the hours leading into noon ET and any sharp move right around the 12:00 candle. A brief surge, sudden selloff, or exchange-specific volatility on the XRP/USDT pair could flip the result even if the broader crypto market looks stable. Because the threshold is close to the tape, small intraday moves matter more than longer-term XRP narratives.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.3K
Liquidity
$43.5K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketBefore the cutoff, readers should check the exact resolution rule: Binance XRP/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle close on June 7. The most important source of truth is the Binance chart itself, since prices on other exchanges do not count here. The main ambiguity risk is mistaking a live last-traded price for the finalized candle close, so the final candle value at the stated time is what matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 7?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.7K in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.4%
No
97.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$161.5K
Liquidity
$154.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market+14.6%
24h Vol
$68.4K
Liquidity
$21.3K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View market-7%
24h Vol
$45.6K
Liquidity
$64.3K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market
+0.4%
24h Vol
$33.7K
Liquidity
$69.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View market-0.9%
24h Vol
$65.8K
Liquidity
$19.4K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market