crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
Probability
2%
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$13.9K
This market asks a very specific price question about XRP: will the Binance XRP/USDT 1-minute candle at noon Eastern Time on June 8 close above $1.50? Because it uses one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact minute, the outcome can differ from prices seen elsewhere on the same day.
The title is about XRP, the native token associated with the XRP Ledger, and whether its Binance XRP/USDT price will finish a single 1-minute candle above $1.50 on June 8. The resolution time is pinned to 12:00 ET, and the market uses Binance’s "Close" value from the XRP/USDT chart with the 1m interval selected. That means the question is not whether XRP trades above $1.50 at some point during the day, but whether that specific minute ends above the threshold.
There is often a gap between a coin’s headline price level and the exact print used by a market’s rules. XRP is a widely watched crypto asset, so a move around a round number like $1.50 can draw attention, but this contract is narrowly defined by Binance’s data rather than by broader market averages or another exchange’s feed. The disagreement being priced is whether that single noon candle will settle above the cutoff or remain at or below it.
For this market, the most important drivers are immediate XRP market moves on Binance leading into the noon ET candle. Rapid changes in Bitcoin or the wider crypto market, large XRP-specific order flow, or exchange-driven volatility around the measurement window can all affect whether the 1-minute close lands above $1.50. Because the rule depends on one timestamp, even a brief spike or pullback near noon could decide the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 2% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketReaders should check the exact resolution rule: Binance XRP/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on June 8, using the final Close price. The key ambiguity to watch is that the market does not use another exchange, a daily close, or an intraday high; only the Binance close for that single minute matters. Since the deadline is 2026-06-08T16:00:00Z, the relevant check is the noon Eastern candle on that date, with precision determined by the decimals shown by Binance.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 2%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
2.1%
No
97.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 2%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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