
-0.1%
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24h Vol
$321.2K
Liquidity
$38.9K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $7.5K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$7.5K
This market asks whether XRP’s Binance XRP/USDT price will finish above $1.60 on June 8. It is a specific spot-price check at a specific minute, so the outcome depends on Binance’s recorded 1-minute candle rather than on a broad daily average or another exchange’s quote.
The event is tied to XRP, the native token associated with the XRP Ledger, and uses Binance’s XRP/USDT market as the source of truth. According to the rules, the market resolves "Yes" only if the 12:00 p.m. ET 1-minute candle on June 8 closes above $1.60; otherwise it resolves "No." The deadline is embedded in the title and the market ends on June 8, so readers should pay close attention to the exact timestamp and the Binance candle close, not an intraday high or low.
A round-number threshold like $1.60 can matter because crypto prices often cluster around visible levels where traders, holders, and short-term watchers focus attention. The uncertainty here is not about XRP’s long-term fundamentals, but about whether a single Binance minute candle clears a narrowly defined price line at one exact moment. That creates disagreement over whether the token can hold above the threshold at the resolution time, especially when the market is already close to the line.
For a market like this, the biggest movers are immediate price action in XRP/USDT on Binance, broad crypto risk sentiment, and any exchange-specific volatility around the resolution window. A quick push above $1.60, followed by a close below it in the same minute, would still matter because the rule keys off the final candle close. Conversely, a small dip just before noon ET could flip the result even if XRP trades above $1.60 at other times during the day.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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View marketBefore the market resolves, readers should verify the exact resolution source: Binance’s XRP/USDT 1-minute candles, with the noon ET candle’s final close price. The title’s dollar level and the source description both matter, because this is not based on Coinbase, Kraken, a composite index, or any other pair. The main ambiguity risk is timestamp handling, so the important check is whether the Binance candle labeled for 12:00 ET closes above $1.60 under Binance’s displayed precision.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $7.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
1%
No
99%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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