
0%
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
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Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $2K in 24h volume, and $17.9K in liquidity.
Probability
91%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$17.9K
This market asks whether the U.S. will put a legal stop on new AI data center construction or major expansions before the end of 2026. It is a policy question, not an esports event, so the key issue is whether lawmakers and the White House end up signing a qualifying moratorium into law by the deadline. The current trading signals suggest the market is leaning strongly toward that outcome, but the final answer will depend on the exact wording of any bill and whether it is enacted in time.
The event is about a federal or otherwise qualifying U.S. law that pauses or blocks approvals for new AI data centers, AI compute facilities, AI training or inference centers, or any broader rule that applies to all data centers. If Congress passes such a bill and it is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves Yes; if not, it resolves No. The description makes clear that the timing of the moratorium taking effect does not matter as much as the signing of the bill itself.
AI data centers have become a politically sensitive topic because they sit at the intersection of energy use, grid capacity, land use, and the rapid buildout of AI infrastructure. A moratorium would be a major policy intervention, so there is uncertainty about whether lawmakers will move in that direction and whether any proposal will be narrow enough to count under the market rules. The market is pricing disagreement over both the chance of legislation and the chance that any enacted bill will meet the definition of a qualifying moratorium.
Price can move quickly if lawmakers introduce, advance, or amend a bill that specifically targets AI data centers or broader data center approvals. Signals from committee action, floor votes, presidential support or opposition, and the exact statutory language matter a lot here because the market only counts a qualifying moratorium. A narrower bill, a delayed signing, or an injunction does not by itself settle the market under the stated rules, while a signed bill before the deadline would be the clearest Yes trigger.
Related markets

0%
24h Vol
$653.8K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 91% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the final text of any bill and whether it actually prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data centers, AI compute facilities, or all data centers in a way that fits the market description. Readers should also watch the official U.S. government record for passage and signing dates, since the deadline is December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If there is ambiguity, the key question will be whether the law is a true moratorium on new approvals and whether it was enacted in time, not whether the policy was merely proposed or later challenged in court.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 91%, $2K in 24h volume, and $17.9K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Yes
91.4%
No
8.6%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 91%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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