economy
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketEconomy
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $55.1K in 24h volume, and $10.5K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$55.1K
Liquidity
$10.5K
This market asks whether the Bank of England will cut its Bank Rate by 50 basis points or more after its June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. It is worth watching because the June statement is one of the clearest scheduled moments when the central bank can reset borrowing costs, and a move that large would signal an unusually forceful shift in policy.
The event is tied to the Bank of England’s June 2026 MPC meeting, with the summary due on June 18, 2026. The question is not simply whether rates change, but how much the upper bound of the Bank Rate moves compared with the level before the meeting; only a cut or change of 50 basis points or more would count for the “Yes” side. If the Bank sets a rate change that is not shown exactly in the market’s brackets, the result is rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points under the market rules.
This market reflects uncertainty about how aggressively the Bank of England will respond to inflation, growth, and broader financial conditions by mid-2026. A 50-plus basis point cut is a bigger step than a routine quarter-point move, so traders are pricing the chance that policymakers either see the economy weakening enough to justify faster easing or decide that gradual changes are not sufficient. Because the outcome depends on an official decision, there is real uncertainty right up until the statement is published.
The biggest price moves will usually come from signals about the MPC’s stance before June 18, especially if official communications, speeches, or published data make a larger cut look more or less likely. Inflation readings, labor-market data, growth figures, and any market stress that changes expectations for policy easing can all affect whether a 50 basis point cut becomes plausible. The statement itself is the decisive event, so any wording that suggests a bigger-than-usual adjustment could shift the market quickly.
Related markets
-0.1%
24h Vol
$1.4M
Liquidity
$2.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should check the Bank of England’s official June 2026 MPC announcement and the accompanying Bank Rate decision, since that is the primary source of truth for resolution. The market rules matter here: the change is measured against the rate before the meeting, and unusual increments are rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points. One ambiguity to watch is timing—if no statement appears by the start of the next scheduled meeting, the market says it resolves to the “No change” bracket rather than waiting indefinitely.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $55.1K in 24h volume, and $10.5K in liquidity.
Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 18, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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