
+0.1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
24h Vol
$2.9M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketEconomy
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.8K in 24h volume, and $9K in liquidity.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$9K
This market asks whether the Bank of England will raise the Bank Rate by 50 basis points or more after its June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting. The Bank of England’s rate decisions matter because they set the tone for borrowing costs across the UK, from mortgages to business loans, so even a single meeting can attract close attention.
The event in question is the Bank of England’s June 2026 MPC decision, with the summary due on June 18, 2026. The market resolves based on how much the upper bound of the Bank Rate changes compared with the level before that meeting, and the specific bracket here is for an increase of 50 basis points or more. If the Bank of England moves by an amount not shown in the market’s listed options, the rules say the change is rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and placed in the relevant bracket.
The market is pricing uncertainty about how forcefully the Bank of England will respond to inflation, growth, and broader financial conditions at that meeting. A 50-basis-point increase would signal a more aggressive policy move than smaller quarter-point steps, so the question is not just whether rates change, but how large the change will be. Readers care because the Bank Rate is one of the clearest signals of the central bank’s short-term stance on the economy.
The biggest price-moving event will be the official MPC statement released on the Bank of England’s website, since the market can resolve as soon as that statement and any relevant data are published. Language in the statement about inflation, wage pressures, economic activity, or the balance of risks could shift expectations before the final decision is known. Credible reporting that clearly points to a specific rate move may also influence the market, but the official announcement remains the primary source of truth.
Related markets

+0.1%
24h Vol
$2.9M
Liquidity
$1.3M
Spread
0%
6/17/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, readers should check the Bank of England’s official upcoming MPC dates page and the June 2026 statement on June 18, 2026. The key detail is the exact change in the upper bound of the Bank Rate, not the broader tone of the announcement, and the rules also say that non-standard changes are rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points. If the Bank does not release a statement by the start of the next scheduled meeting, the market is set to resolve as “No change,” so the timing of publication matters as much as the decision itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting?. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $1.8K in 24h volume, and $9K in liquidity.
Track live economy prediction markets focused on inflation, recessions, GDP growth, labor markets, and major global economic developments.
Yes
0.2%
No
99.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 18, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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