culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $730.9 in 24h volume, and $12K in liquidity.
Probability
1%
24h Volume
$730.9
Liquidity
$12K
This market asks whether Bill Clinton and Hillary Clinton will publicly announce by June 30, 2026 that they intend to divorce. Because the question is tied to a specific announcement deadline, the key issue is not whether a divorce ever happens, but whether either Clinton makes that intention public before the cutoff.
The market resolves Yes if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET that they intend to divorce. It does not require the divorce to be finalized, and it does not matter if any actual divorce would happen later; the announcement itself is enough. The named entities matter because Bill Clinton is a former U.S. president and both Clintons are long-standing public figures, so any qualifying statement would likely be closely scrutinized and documented.
There is uncertainty only because the market depends on a very specific public statement within a fixed time window, and absence of an announcement leads to a No result. Readers may care because the Clintons are high-profile public figures, so even an unusual family-related announcement would be widely noticed and would carry clear resolution implications. The market is pricing disagreement over whether any such statement will be made before the deadline.
A direct statement from either Bill Clinton or Hillary Clinton, or from a representative speaking clearly on their behalf, would be the most important development. Credible media reporting of a definitive announcement could also matter if it is strong enough to satisfy the market’s resolution standard. By contrast, ordinary public appearances, old interviews, or general relationship commentary would not move the outcome unless they include an explicit intention to divorce.
The current market price implies roughly a 1% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$126.9K
Liquidity
$50.1K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, readers should watch for exact wording from the Clintons or their representatives, since the rules require an announcement of intent to divorce rather than rumors or speculation. The resolution source is the couple’s own statements and representative statements, with a fallback to a definitive consensus of credible media reporting if needed. The main ambiguity risk is whether a statement is explicit enough to count, so the precise language and the timing before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET are what matter most.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?. The market currently shows a live probability of 1%, $730.9 in 24h volume, and $12K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
0.8%
No
99.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 30, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton announce their intention to divorce by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Bill Clinton and/or Hillary Clinton, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 1%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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