crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
58%
+17.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $14.7K in 24h volume, and $19.4K in liquidity.
Probability
98%
24h Volume
$14.7K
Liquidity
$19.4K
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin: will BTC/USDT on Binance finish a 1-minute candle above $50,000 at noon Eastern Time on June 12? Because the resolution depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact minute, it is narrower than a general “Bitcoin above $50,000” headline and can differ from prices seen elsewhere.
The title refers to Bitcoin’s price on June 12, with the decision tied to the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET. If that candle’s final Close is higher than $50,000, the market resolves Yes; if not, it resolves No. The end date on the page is June 12, 2026, but the key resolution detail is the noon Eastern candle on that date, not a daily average or a closing price from another venue.
Bitcoin is volatile enough that even a round-number threshold like $50,000 can be uncertain at a specific moment, especially when the result depends on a single minute’s close. Traders and observers may care because this kind of market isolates a precise price level and timestamp, which can be affected by short-lived moves, exchange-specific pricing, or a sharp reaction around the deadline. The market is effectively pricing disagreement over whether BTC can stay above that level on Binance at that exact time.
Price can move quickly if Bitcoin makes a sharp intraday swing before noon ET, especially around major macro headlines, exchange flows, or broad crypto-market moves that affect BTC/USDT on Binance. Because the rule uses the 1-minute candle close, the final seconds before 12:00 ET matter more than a vague daily trend. A brief dip below the threshold, or a fast bounce above it, could decide the outcome even if the wider day looks different.
The current market price implies roughly a 98% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+17.8%
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe main thing to verify is the exact source and timestamp: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, with the 12:00 ET candle used as the source of truth. Readers should not rely on prices from other exchanges, other trading pairs, or chart views that use a different timezone or candle interval. The market’s wording and rules leave little room for ambiguity, but the critical check is whether Binance’s final Close for that one candle is above $50,000 at the stated deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 12?. The market currently shows a live probability of 98%, $14.7K in 24h volume, and $19.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
97.7%
No
2.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 12, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 98%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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