crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$147.7K
Liquidity
$164.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $11K in 24h volume, and $16.8K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$11K
Liquidity
$16.8K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price be above $50,000 at the noon ET 1-minute candle on June 13? Because the outcome is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact candle close, it is less about broad crypto sentiment and more about that precise timestamp and reference price. That makes it useful for readers who want to follow a clearly defined price threshold rather than a vague end-of-day move.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and a fixed level of $50,000 on June 13, 2026. Resolution does not use a daily average or a market-wide benchmark; it uses Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time on that date, and the market resolves Yes only if the candle’s final Close is above $50,000. If the Close is at or below $50,000, or if there is any mismatch with the specified Binance source, the outcome is No under the stated rules.
A round-number threshold like $50,000 is easy to understand, but the actual outcome depends on a very narrow slice of market activity at a particular minute. Bitcoin can move quickly, and the price seen on Binance may differ from other exchanges or from a broader index, so readers may reasonably disagree about whether that exact candle will finish above the level. The market is therefore pricing both the general direction of Bitcoin and the risk that a single minute close lands just on the other side of the line.
For this market, the biggest price-moving inputs are ordinary Bitcoin trading pressure in the days leading up to June 13 and any sharp move during the morning of the deadline itself. News that affects crypto risk appetite, large exchange flows, or broad market volatility can matter because they may push BTC/USDT on Binance across the threshold at the crucial minute. Since the rule uses one candle close, even a short-lived spike or dip around 12:00 p.m. ET can determine the result.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$147.7K
Liquidity
$164.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The main thing to verify is the exact source and timestamp: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on June 13, 2026. Readers should also check that they are looking at the candle Close price, not a high, low, or last traded price from another venue, because the market description explicitly says other exchanges do not control resolution. If Binance’s displayed time zone, candle labeling, or chart settings are confusing, that is the key ambiguity to clear up before the deadline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $11K in 24h volume, and $16.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
97.3%
No
2.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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