crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $5.7K in 24h volume, and $58.8K in liquidity.
Probability
3%
24h Volume
$5.7K
Liquidity
$58.8K
This market asks whether Ethereum will print a Binance ETH/USDT one-minute high of $7,500 at any point before the end of 2026. Because the contract resolves from a single exchange’s candle data, the question is not just where ETH trades overall, but whether Binance records that exact intraday high on the specified timeline.
The event is centered on Ethereum, the native asset of the Ethereum network, and the $7,500 threshold named in the title. Resolution is based only on Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candles: if any candle between November 24, 2025 at 14:00 ET and December 31, 2026 at 23:59 ET shows a final high at or above $7,500, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The end date shown on the page is January 1, 2027 at 05:00 UTC, which matches that Eastern Time cutoff.
This market is about whether Ethereum can reach a notably higher price level before the deadline, and it is especially sensitive because the target must appear in Binance’s own high-price data rather than on a broader market average. Traders may disagree about how much upside ETH can still have within the window, how volatile a single exchange candle can get, and whether the market can briefly spike to the threshold even if it does not hold there. The presence of a precise intraday trigger makes this a very different question from asking whether Ethereum simply finishes the period above $7,500.
The main price-moving events for this market are Ethereum-specific developments that could change demand or sentiment before the deadline, especially protocol upgrades, major network milestones, and large shifts in crypto market conditions. Because the resolution source is Binance ETH/USDT, sudden exchange-local spikes, thin-liquidity moves, or fast rally wicks on that venue could matter even more than a slower broad trend elsewhere. News affecting risk appetite for crypto in general can also matter, but only insofar as it helps ETH reach a Binance candle high at or above the stated level.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 3% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Readers should verify the exact resolution rule: a single Binance 1-minute candle high at or above $7,500 is enough, and prices on other exchanges do not count. The most important source-of-truth details are the trading pair (ETH/USDT), the chart interval (1m), and the Eastern Time cutoff, since a candle that looks close on another chart or at another timestamp may not qualify. If Binance changes chart behavior, data availability, or display conventions, the market’s stated rules still control, so the page’s description is the first thing to check before assuming a move has or has not counted.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?. The market currently shows a live probability of 3%, $5.7K in 24h volume, and $58.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jan 1, 2027. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 3%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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