crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $6.8K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Probability
96%
24h Volume
$6.8K
Liquidity
$16.5K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will finish above $52,000 at the specific noon Eastern Time 1-minute candle on June 13. It is a narrow price-check market, so the exact exchange, trading pair, candle type, and timestamp matter as much as the headline level.
The question is not about Bitcoin’s average price during the day or about prices on other exchanges. It resolves from Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date named in the title, using the candle’s final Close price: if that Close is above $52,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No. The deadline shown on the page is June 13, 2026, and readers should note that the market uses Binance’s source of truth, not a broader crypto index.
Bitcoin’s dollar price can move quickly, and a single minute candle can land on either side of a round number like $52,000. The market is pricing the chance that BTC remains above that threshold exactly at the specified moment, which is different from asking whether Bitcoin trades above it at any point during the day. Because the cutoff is precise, even small intraday swings, exchange-specific pricing differences, or a brief wick around noon can determine the outcome.
The biggest drivers are the usual Bitcoin price forces that affect BTC/USDT on Binance: strong directional moves in the broader crypto market, sharp reactions to macro headlines, or sudden selloffs and short squeezes around the target date. Since the rule is tied to a single 1-minute candle, fast volatility in the minutes around 12:00 ET is especially important. Any movement that pushes Binance’s BTC/USDT Close above or below $52,000 at that exact timestamp can flip the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 96% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore resolution, check the market’s exact rule: it uses Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title, and the candle’s final Close price. The key ambiguity to watch is source matching—other exchanges, spot indexes, derivatives prices, or a different timezone do not count. Readers should verify the timestamp conversion into ET and confirm the closing price on Binance’s candle view, since the outcome depends on that specific printed Close rather than an average or daily high/low.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $6.8K in 24h volume, and $16.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
96.3%
No
3.8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 96%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-0.4%
24h Vol
$221K
Liquidity
$86.3K
Spread
0%
6/7/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$56.6K
Liquidity
$9.2K
Spread
1%
6/7/2026
View market+0.5%
24h Vol
$36.5K
Liquidity
$101.8K
Spread
0%
1/1/2027
View market
+2.5%
24h Vol
$74.4K
Liquidity
$24K
Spread
2%
7/1/2026
View market+0.1%
24h Vol
$136.8K
Liquidity
$59.2K
Spread
0%
1/1/2027
View market