crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 92%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Probability
92%
24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$14.8K
This market is about whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will be above $54,000 at a very specific moment: the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle on June 13. Because the outcome depends on one exchange, one trading pair, and one timestamp, it is more precise than a broad “Bitcoin above $54,000” headline.
The question is whether the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title closes above $54,000. If that Binance candle closes above the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; if it closes at or below $54,000, it resolves to No. The resolution source is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with 1m candles, not other exchanges, spot averages, or derivative prices.
Bitcoin can trade very differently across exchanges and even moment to moment, so a level like $54,000 needs a clear rule about which price counts. Traders watch markets like this because a single candle close can hinge on short-lived volatility, and the exact cutoff matters more than the general trend. The current pricing shows the market leaning strongly toward a Yes outcome, but the final result still depends on that specific Binance close.
The biggest drivers are Bitcoin’s price action into the June 13 noon ET candle and any sudden moves around that timestamp. A fast rally or selloff, exchange-specific volatility on Binance, or a sharp move in BTC/USDT during that minute could change the result. Because the rule uses a one-minute close, even a brief spike or drop near 12:00 ET can be decisive.
The current market price implies roughly a 92% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact settlement rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title. The key source of truth is the candle’s final Close price on Binance, so the main ambiguity to avoid is confusing it with another exchange, another timezone, or a different chart interval. The end date shown on the market page is June 13, 2026, and that is the deadline to check the qualifying candle.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 92%, $1.1K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
92%
No
8%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 92%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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