crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $769.5 in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Probability
76%
24h Volume
$769.5
Liquidity
$14.9K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will print above $58,000 on June 13, using a specific 1-minute candle at noon ET. Because the contract settles off one exchange, the key question is not Bitcoin’s broad market price, but the exact Binance close at the designated minute.
The event is tied to Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, and the threshold is $58,000 on June 13, 2026. Resolution depends on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET, and the market uses that candle’s final Close price rather than an average, a different exchange, or a different trading pair. If that Binance close is above $58,000, the market resolves Yes; otherwise it resolves No.
Bitcoin can move sharply over short time frames, and a single minute’s close can end up just above or below a round-number level like $58,000. Traders often care about these thresholds because they can reflect whether momentum is holding, but this market is narrower than a general “Bitcoin price on June 13” question since it is pinned to one source and one minute. The main uncertainty is whether BTC is still trading above that line at the exact settlement timestamp.
Price can shift quickly on any Bitcoin-specific catalyst, including large moves in the broader crypto market, exchange-driven volatility, or sudden changes in risk appetite. Because the resolution uses Binance’s BTC/USDT candle, movements on Binance itself matter most, especially if liquidity is thin around noon ET or the market is crossing the $58,000 level. Late-day volatility near the deadline is especially important because even a brief dip or spike during the chosen minute can change the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 76% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact settlement rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET on June 13, and the final Close price from that candle. The most important source-of-truth detail is that this is not based on Coinbase, Kraken, an index price, or any broader market average, so cross-exchange discrepancies do not matter unless they affect Binance’s own chart. The deadline shown on the market page is June 13, 2026 at 16:00:00 UTC, which corresponds to noon Eastern time, and any ambiguity about the candle timestamp or Binance chart display should be checked against the listed rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $769.5 in 24h volume, and $14.9K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
76%
No
24%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 76%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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