crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
58%
+17.8%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $15K in 24h volume, and $14.4K in liquidity.
Probability
85%
24h Volume
$15K
Liquidity
$14.4K
This market asks whether Bitcoin, as quoted on Binance’s BTC/USDT spot market, will finish above $58,000 on June 9. Because the settlement uses a specific one-minute candle at a specific time, the outcome depends on an exchange timestamp rather than a broad daily average or headline price.
The question is narrowly defined: on June 9 at 12:00 ET, the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle must have a final close above $58,000 for a Yes resolution. The market does not use Coinbase, a Bitcoin index, or any other venue; it resolves only from Binance’s BTC/USDT candles in the trade interface noted in the rules. The deadline shown for resolution is June 9, 2026, with the market closing at the specified time window in the source data.
Bitcoin often trades near round-number levels like $58,000, where even a small move can decide the outcome of a timestamped price check. Traders may disagree not just on Bitcoin’s direction, but on whether it can hold a level at one exact minute on one exchange, which is a much tighter question than asking where BTC will be later in the day. The current market is leaning toward Yes, but the price can still move quickly if BTC weakens or if it briefly slips below the threshold near the settlement time.
The main drivers here are the BTC/USDT price path on Binance and how close the market gets to $58,000 as June 9 approaches. A clean move above the level with room to spare can reinforce the Yes side, while repeated tests of the threshold or a sharp intraday selloff can pull the market toward No. Because the rule uses the 12:00 ET one-minute close, even a short-lived wick or a late-minute reversal can matter more than the broader session trend.
The current market price implies roughly a 85% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+17.8%
24h Vol
$280.9K
Liquidity
$18.9K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact settlement rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle close on June 9. The most important ambiguity to check is whether the source chart is showing the same timezone and candle labeling used by the market rules, since the outcome depends on that exact reference point. It is also worth watching whether Binance’s displayed close for that minute is above or below $58,000, because other exchanges or other BTC pairs do not count for this market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9?. The market currently shows a live probability of 85%, $15K in 24h volume, and $14.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
85.2%
No
14.9%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 85%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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