crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 59%, $242.4 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Probability
59%
24h Volume
$242.4
Liquidity
$5.7K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will be above $60,000 at a very specific Binance reference point on June 13. It is not asking about an average price over the day or Bitcoin’s broader market move; it turns on one 1-minute candle close for BTC/USDT at noon ET.
The title sets a simple threshold: Bitcoin must be above $60,000 on June 13 for the market to resolve “Yes.” The rules make the decision entirely by Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET, using the candle’s final Close price from Binance’s candles interface. That means the outcome depends on one exchange, one trading pair, one timestamp, and one exact price reading.
Bitcoin can trade above or below a round number like $60,000 for many reasons, and that level is often watched closely by traders and market observers. The uncertainty here is not about Bitcoin’s long-term direction, but about whether the Binance spot price will be on one side of that line at a precise moment on June 13. Because the market uses a single exchange snapshot, people may disagree not only about Bitcoin’s price path, but also about how volatile it will be around noon ET.
Movements in BTC/USDT leading into June 13 will matter most, especially any sharp swings near the noon ET candle the rules use. A fast move in either direction during that minute could decide the market even if Bitcoin spends most of the day on the other side of $60,000. News that changes crypto sentiment, large spot-driven swings, or abrupt changes in market liquidity on Binance can all affect whether that specific close lands above or below the threshold.
The current market price implies roughly a 59% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is the resolution rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET on June 13, and the final Close price only. Readers should not substitute prices from other exchanges, perpetual futures, or broader market charts, because those do not control the outcome. The main ambiguity risk is misunderstanding the timestamp or using the wrong Binance view, so the source page and candle settings matter more than the wider Bitcoin market headline.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 59%, $242.4 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
59%
No
41%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 59%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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