crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $194.1 in 24h volume, and $5.5K in liquidity.
Probability
41%
24h Volume
$194.1
Liquidity
$5.5K
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at noon Eastern on June 13 will finish above $62,000. It is a narrowly defined price check, so the exact exchange, trading pair, candle interval, and timestamp all matter as much as the broader direction of the crypto market.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset, and June 13, 2026 as the resolution date. According to the rules, the market resolves on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on that date: if the candle’s final Close is strictly higher than $62,000, the answer is Yes; otherwise it is No. The deadline shown on the page is June 13, 2026, and the source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT candlestick data, not prices from other exchanges.
Bitcoin can trade differently across venues and time slices, so a specific exchange candle creates a precise yes-or-no outcome instead of a vague “where is Bitcoin trading that day” question. The $62,000 threshold is close enough to be sensitive to ordinary intraday swings, which is why traders may disagree on whether the noon ET print will be above or below it. Because the market uses one minute of data, even a short-lived move around that timestamp can decide the result.
Any move in BTC/USDT on Binance near noon Eastern on June 13 can shift the outcome, especially if Bitcoin is already trading close to the $62,000 line. Broader crypto catalysts such as exchange-specific volatility, macro news that hits risk assets, or large Bitcoin moves in the hours before the noon candle can matter because they may carry directly into that exact minute. If the market approaches the threshold, small changes in liquidity or short-term momentum can be enough to flip the candle’s Close above or below the target.
The current market price implies roughly a 41% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the precise resolution rule: the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle labeled 12:00 in Eastern Time, not a daily close, not another exchange, and not a different trading pair. The important source is Binance’s candlestick data on the BTC/USDT page, and the Close price from that single minute determines the outcome. The main ambiguity to watch for is timestamp handling, so it is worth checking how Binance displays the 1-minute candles and confirming the date and ET conversion before the market settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 41%, $194.1 in 24h volume, and $5.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
40.5%
No
59.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 41%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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