crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $149.5K in 24h volume, and $18.7K in liquidity.
Probability
45%
24h Volume
$149.5K
Liquidity
$18.7K
This market asks a simple but very specific question: will Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close above $62,000 at noon Eastern on June 6? Because Bitcoin can move quickly around round-number levels, even a short window like this can hinge on a relatively small price swing. The market is closely tied to one exchange and one exact timestamp, so the resolution rule matters as much as the price itself.
The title refers to Bitcoin, the largest crypto asset by market value, and the $62,000 level as measured on Binance’s BTC/USDT pair. Resolution depends on the 12:00 p.m. ET 1-minute candle on June 6, with the market settling Yes only if that candle’s final Close is above $62,000. The end time shown on the page lines up with that noon Eastern cutoff, so readers should focus on that single Binance candle rather than the day’s high or low.
This market is about whether Bitcoin can be trading above a specific threshold at a specific moment, which is often harder to judge than a broader “will it go up?” question. A level like $62,000 is a clean reference point for traders because it is easy to verify and easy to compare against prior support or resistance thinking, even though the market itself only cares about Binance’s close at one minute. The disagreement being priced is not about Bitcoin’s long-term direction, but about whether it will be above that line at exactly the resolution time.
The main drivers are Bitcoin’s own intraday volatility, broad crypto sentiment, and any market-moving news that lands before the June 6 noon ET candle. Because the rule uses Binance BTC/USDT specifically, price action on that exchange at that moment matters more than prices elsewhere, and brief spikes or dips right around the cutoff can decide the outcome. The relatively tight bid-ask spread and active volume suggest the market is trading as a live view on that exact settlement moment rather than on a distant horizon.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 45% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the deadline, the key detail to verify is the resolution source: Binance BTC/USDT with ‘1m’ and ‘Candles’ selected, using the Close price for the 12:00 ET candle on June 6. Readers should not rely on other exchanges, spot averages, chart overlays, or a later daily close, since none of those control settlement here. The main ambiguity risk is timing, so it is worth checking that the candle being referenced is the noon Eastern one and that the final close is above, not merely touching, $62,000.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?. The market currently shows a live probability of 45%, $149.5K in 24h volume, and $18.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 45%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
-0.9%
24h Vol
$193.8K
Liquidity
$81.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$123.4K
Liquidity
$10.1K
Spread
2%
6/6/2026
View market+5%
24h Vol
$153.4K
Liquidity
$69K
Spread
1%
1/1/2027
View market
+7.7%
24h Vol
$60.5K
Liquidity
$27.2K
Spread
1%
7/1/2026
View market+14.4%
24h Vol
$125.8K
Liquidity
$9.2K
Spread
6%
6/8/2026
View market