crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $50 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$5.7K
This market asks a very specific version of a familiar Bitcoin question: will BTC/USDT on Binance finish above $64,000 at noon Eastern Time on June 13? Because the outcome depends on one minute candle from one exchange, it is less about broad market sentiment and more about the exact Binance print at a single timestamp. Small moves around the cutoff can decide the result.
The title refers to Bitcoin’s price on June 13, 2026, using Binance’s BTC/USDT market as the source of truth. The market resolves “Yes” only if the 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on that date shows a final Close above $64,000; otherwise it resolves “No.” That means the relevant number is not a daily average, a spot index, or a price from another exchange, but the Binance close for that exact minute.
Bitcoin can trade across many exchanges at slightly different prices, and those differences matter when a market keys off one venue and one candle. The $64,000 level is also a clear round-number threshold, so readers are watching whether Bitcoin is above or below that line at the specified moment rather than over a longer period. The market is pricing disagreement about whether BTC will be high enough on Binance at that exact noon snapshot.
Any move that pushes BTC/USDT toward or away from $64,000 near the June 13 noon ET candle can shift this market, especially if the price is hovering close to the line. Fast changes on Binance specifically matter more than moves elsewhere, because the resolution ignores other exchanges and only uses the Binance close for that minute. Short-term volatility, a sharp wick, or a last-second move inside the 12:00 ET candle can be enough to change the outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the market closes, check the exact resolution rule: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, and the 12:00 ET candle on the date in the title. The key ambiguity risk is confusing Binance with another exchange or using a different time window, since neither will count here. Readers should also verify whether the Binance candle’s final Close is above $64,000, because that single value is what determines the result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, $50 in 24h volume, and $5.7K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
23%
No
77%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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