crypto
🔥 Hot⚡ Tight
56%
+16.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $48.3K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Probability
21%
24h Volume
$48.3K
Liquidity
$14.8K
Current
17.6%
Change
-80.3%
High
97.9%
Low
12.3%
Yes moved from 97.9% to 17.6% over the full available history, trading between 12.3% and 97.9%.
Yes price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market asks whether Bitcoin’s Binance BTC/USDT price will finish above $64,000 on June 8, using the 12:00 p.m. ET one-minute candle. It is a narrow price-threshold question tied to one specific exchange and one specific timestamp, so the exact source and candle timing matter as much as the headline level.
The event is about Bitcoin on Binance, not about Bitcoin prices on other exchanges or in other trading pairs. To resolve “Yes,” the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on June 8 must have a final Close higher than $64,000; otherwise it resolves “No.” The market ends on June 8, 2026, and the resolution is based on the Binance candle data shown on the exchange’s BTC/USDT trading page with the 1m candles view selected.
Bitcoin can trade very differently across exchanges and even from minute to minute, which makes a specific cutoff like $64,000 on a specific Binance candle genuinely uncertain. Traders following this market are weighing whether BTC will be strong enough at that exact point in time to clear the threshold, versus settling below it after normal intraday volatility.
The price can move quickly if Bitcoin trends sharply into the June 8 window, especially around U.S. morning trading hours that overlap with the 12:00 p.m. ET candle. Because the rule depends on Binance’s BTC/USDT close for one minute only, even a brief spike or pullback near that timestamp can change the outcome. The visible spread and the recent one-day move also matter because they show there is active disagreement about where BTC will land by resolution time.
The current market price implies roughly a 21% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+16.5%
24h Vol
$281.5K
Liquidity
$31.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketReaders should verify the exact Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET on June 8, since that is the source of truth for settlement. The most important ambiguity to avoid is checking the wrong exchange, the wrong pair, or a different candle interval; those do not count under the market rules. It is also worth confirming whether the displayed Binance candle close is final for that minute, because the market resolves on the candle’s published Close rather than an average price or a later print.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?. The market currently shows a live probability of 21%, $48.3K in 24h volume, and $14.8K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
21.1%
No
79%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 21%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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