crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $50 in 24h volume, and $6.5K in liquidity.
Probability
12%
24h Volume
$50
Liquidity
$6.5K
This market asks a very specific Bitcoin price question: will BTC/USDT on Binance close above $66,000 on June 13 at 12:00 p.m. ET? It matters because the answer depends on one exact one-minute candle on one exchange, so the result can differ from headlines or prices quoted elsewhere. Even small moves around the noon timestamp can decide the outcome.
The event being tracked is the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET on the date in the title, which here resolves on June 13, 2026. The market pays out "Yes" only if the candle’s final Close price is strictly higher than $66,000; otherwise it resolves "No." The source of truth is Binance’s BTC/USDT chart with 1m candles, not another exchange, a spot index, or a futures market.
Bitcoin can trade at slightly different levels across venues, and a threshold like $66,000 creates a clean yes-or-no line that is easy to settle but still uncertain before the timestamp arrives. Traders and readers may care because this is a common way to watch whether Bitcoin is holding above a round-number level at a defined moment. The market is really pricing the chance that BTC on Binance is above that level exactly at the noon close, not whether Bitcoin is generally strong or weak that day.
The main drivers are ordinary Bitcoin spot moves leading into the noon ET candle on Binance, especially if price is hovering near the $66,000 line. A fast move in crypto broadly, a large swing in BTC/USDT on Binance, or a sharp wick during that minute could flip the outcome even if the broader day looks unchanged. Because the market uses a single one-minute close, brief volatility around the cutoff matters more than the rest of the session.
The current market price implies roughly a 12% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the exact settlement rule: the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at 12:00 ET, using the final Close price from Binance’s Candles view. The key ambiguity to avoid is confusing Binance with another exchange, a different trading pair, or a different timestamp such as the daily close. Readers should also verify the date, since the end time in UTC corresponds to noon Eastern time on June 13, 2026.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 12%, $50 in 24h volume, and $6.5K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
11.5%
No
88.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 12%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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