crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $130.3 in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Probability
4%
24h Volume
$130.3
Liquidity
$6.4K
This market asks whether Bitcoin will be trading above $70,000 on a very specific Binance 1-minute candle at noon ET on June 13. Because the outcome is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one exact timestamp, the result can differ from what traders see on other venues or even from broader market headlines.
The question is not simply whether Bitcoin is “high” or “low” on June 13, but whether the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle for 12:00 ET closes above $70,000. The market resolves from the Binance BTC/USDT chart with 1m candles selected, so the decisive number is the candle’s final Close price at that minute, not an average price or a spot quote from another exchange.
Bitcoin can move sharply around deadlines, macro news, exchange activity, or broader crypto sentiment, so a single timestamp can produce an outcome that is uncertain even if the longer-term trend feels obvious. The pricing here reflects a straightforward disagreement about whether BTC will be above the stated threshold at that exact moment, with the added wrinkle that Binance’s specific price feed is the source of truth.
Anything that changes Bitcoin’s short-term trading level before June 13 can affect this market, especially sharp moves in BTC/USDT on Binance around the noon ET candle. Because the resolution depends on one minute, fast market conditions, volatility spikes, or sudden order-book pressure matter more than longer-term narratives; even a brief move above or below $70,000 at the close of that candle will decide the result.
The current market price implies roughly a 4% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$144.1K
Liquidity
$164.7K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore the deadline, readers should verify the exact resolution rules: Binance BTC/USDT, 1-minute candles, 12:00 ET on June 13, and the candle’s final Close price. The main ambiguity risk is using the wrong exchange, the wrong timezone, or the wrong price type, so the relevant reference is the Binance candle chart itself rather than other Bitcoin price trackers. If Binance’s displayed data changes format or there is any dispute about the timestamp, the market description should be the first place to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13?. The market currently shows a live probability of 4%, $130.3 in 24h volume, and $6.4K in liquidity.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Yes
3.5%
No
96.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 4%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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