crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4.9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $50.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$50.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple but very specific question: when Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-hour candle that starts at 1:00 AM ET on June 6 opens and closes, will the close be at or above the open? Because it is tied to one exact candle on one exchange, even a small move in Bitcoin during that hour determines the result.
The title points to Bitcoin price direction over a single hour, not the whole day or a broader trend. The market resolves to "Up" if Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-hour candle for the specified start time finishes with a close price greater than or equal to the open price; otherwise it resolves to "Down." The source of truth is the candle data shown on Binance for the BTC/USDT pair, and the market specifically excludes prices from other exchanges or trading pairs.
This kind of market is about short-term price uncertainty around a very narrow time window. Bitcoin can move quickly on exchange flow, macro headlines, or thin liquidity, and a one-hour candle can easily end slightly above or below where it began. The disagreement being priced is not about Bitcoin’s long-run direction, but about whether that specific Binance candle finishes green or red.
Any sharp BTC move during that hour can flip the outcome, especially if it starts near the opening price and trades back and forth around it. Exchange-specific conditions matter here too: liquidity on Binance, sudden order-flow imbalances, or a fast wick in either direction can change the candle’s close. Because the rule uses the candle close rather than an average price, the final seconds of the hour are especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4.9%
24h Vol
$330.8K
Liquidity
$105K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketRead the resolution rule closely: the market is based on Binance’s BTC/USDT 1-hour candle at the exact time in the title, and the close must be compared with the open from that same candle. The key thing to verify is the finalized candle data on Binance, since that single source controls the result even if other platforms show a different price. If the candle is still forming or data is delayed, the outcome should be checked only after the 1H candle is finalized and the displayed open and close are settled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $50.1K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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