crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-3.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$377K
Liquidity
$116.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $44.6K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$44.6K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific question about Bitcoin: when Binance opens the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle for June 6 at 3:00 AM ET, will that candle finish at or above its opening price? Because the answer is tied to one exchange, one trading pair, and one hourly candle, even a small move over a short window can decide the outcome.
The outcome is based only on Binance’s BTC/USDT chart for the 1-hour candle that begins at the time named in the title. If the candle’s final close price is greater than or equal to its open price, the market resolves to "Up"; if the close is below the open, it resolves to "Down." The resolution source is the finalized open and close shown at the top of Binance’s 1H graph for that candle.
Bitcoin can move quickly over a single hour, especially around tightly defined time windows. That creates a simple but uncertain yes-or-no question: did BTC finish that specific Binance hour higher than it started, or not? Traders watching this market are effectively pricing the odds of a short-term directional move, not a long-term view on Bitcoin.
The price can change quickly as the specified candle develops, especially if BTC makes a sharp move during that hour or reverses late in the candle. Since the market is tied to Binance BTC/USDT only, any strength or weakness visible on other exchanges matters only if it shows up in Binance’s own candle. The heavy trading volume and very tight bid-ask spread suggest this is an actively watched short-duration market, so small price shifts on Binance can matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-3.5%
24h Vol
$377K
Liquidity
$116.5K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketBefore the market settles, the key thing to verify is the exact Binance BTC/USDT 1-hour candle beginning at the time in the title, not a different hour or a different exchange. The result should be checked against the finalized open and close values on Binance’s 1H chart once that candle is complete. If there is any confusion, the main source of truth is the Binance chart for BTC/USDT, and the relevant issue is whether the close is at least as high as the open.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $44.6K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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