Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?

Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4?. The market currently shows a live probability of 87%, $76.7K in 24h volume, and $37.7K in liquidity.

Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.

This market is currently listed with an end date of Jul 4, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 3 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 4 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.