culture
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
--
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$53.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketCulture
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $82.3K in 24h volume, and $2.8K in liquidity.
Probability
13%
24h Volume
$82.3K
Liquidity
$2.8K
This market asks whether Brian Armstrong will no longer be serving as Coinbase CEO at any point before the end of 2026. Armstrong is the best-known face of Coinbase, one of the largest U.S. crypto companies, so any change in his role would be a major governance and public-announcement event. The page is tracking the possibility of a resignation, removal, or other CEO change, not Coinbase’s business performance or stock price.
The resolution question is straightforward: will Brian Armstrong stop serving as CEO of Coinbase before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? The market resolves to Yes if there is an official announcement that he has resigned or been fired before the end date, even if the change takes effect later. It also resolves based on official company information, with credible reporting used as a fallback if needed.
Armstrong has led Coinbase since its early years, so his departure would be a notable leadership shift for a company that sits at the center of the crypto industry. The uncertainty here is not about whether Coinbase exists, but about whether there will be a management change within a defined window and how that might be communicated. Readers following this market are essentially watching for any sign that the company’s long-time CEO could step aside or be replaced before 2027.
The biggest price moves would likely come from an official Coinbase announcement about a resignation, transition plan, or board action involving Armstrong. Strongly worded credible reports about internal leadership changes could also move the market if they point to an imminent departure. On the other side, public reaffirmations that Armstrong is continuing in the role, or the passage of time without any leadership news, would tend to support the No side.
The current market price implies roughly a 13% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
--
24h Vol
$159.9K
Liquidity
$53.9K
Spread
0%
6/9/2026
View marketBefore the market resolves, check the exact source of truth: official Coinbase statements, statements from Brian Armstrong, and any credible reporting that directly addresses his CEO status. The key detail is whether he stops serving as CEO at any point before the deadline, not whether a successor is named or when a transition becomes effective. Ambiguity could arise if there is an announced transition, a temporary leave, or a title change, so the specific wording of any company announcement matters.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?. The market currently shows a live probability of 13%, $82.3K in 24h volume, and $2.8K in liquidity.
Track live culture prediction markets focused on entertainment, celebrity events, streaming trends, viral topics, movies, music, and global pop culture developments.
Yes
12.5%
No
87.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Dec 31, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 13%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
$72.3K
Liquidity
$38.1K
Spread
0%
6/12/2026
View market-9.7%
24h Vol
$145.5K
Liquidity
$48.6K
Spread
0%
6/8/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$262.7K
Liquidity
$1.1M
Spread
1%
12/31/2026
View market--
24h Vol
$57.5K
Liquidity
$39.5K
Spread
0%
6/16/2026
View market
--
24h Vol
$32.1K
Liquidity
$92.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market