crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
-4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6?
24h Vol
$337.3K
Liquidity
$107.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.9K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$25.9K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether Bitcoin was higher or lower over a four-hour window on June 6, measured from the opening print at 12:00 a.m. ET to the closing print at 4:00 a.m. ET. It is a narrow short-term price question, so even modest moves during that window can decide the outcome.
The title names a specific Bitcoin up-or-down contract for June 6, 12:00 a.m. to 4:00 a.m. ET. It resolves to "Up" if the BTC/USD value at the end of that interval is greater than or equal to the value at the start; otherwise it resolves to "Down." The stated source of truth is Chainlink’s BTC/USD data stream, not a spot exchange chart or another price index.
Bitcoin can move quickly over short intervals, and the result depends on the exact start-and-end readings during a very specific overnight window. That creates uncertainty because traders may disagree about whether the price will finish the window above or below where it began, especially when the move is small or the market is quiet. The market is therefore pricing the possibility of a one-window change rather than a broad directional view of Bitcoin.
Anything that changes Bitcoin’s path during the June 6, 12:00 a.m. to 4:00 a.m. ET window can affect the outcome: abrupt spot moves, large derivatives-driven swings, or a quick reversal near the boundary of the interval. Because the contract uses Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, the relevant move is the data stream’s start and end values, so a brief spike or dip near either timestamp can matter as much as the wider trend. If the price ends at exactly the same level it started, the market resolves to "Up" under the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
-4%
24h Vol
$337.3K
Liquidity
$107.7K
Spread
0%
6/6/2026
View marketThe key items to verify are the exact resolution window in Eastern Time and the Chainlink BTC/USD stream, since the market explicitly says that source controls the result. Readers should check the start and end timestamps, then confirm how the BTC/USD data stream recorded those moments, because this contract does not rely on other exchanges or reference prices. The main ambiguity risk is timestamp alignment: if a price move happens just before or just after the window, it will not count unless it falls inside the specified interval.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $25.9K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
100%
Down
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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