crypto
⚡ Tight💧 Liquid
0%
+0.1%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
24h Vol
$147.7K
Liquidity
$164.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketCrypto
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $12.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
66.5%
Change
+16.5%
High
66.5%
Low
49.5%
Down moved from 50% to 66.5% over the full available history, trading between 49.5% and 66.5%.
Down price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks a simple question about Bitcoin’s short-term direction over a four-hour window on June 6, from 12:00 PM to 4:00 PM ET. It is narrowly tied to the BTC/USD figure reported by Chainlink, so the outcome depends on that specific reference price rather than a broader exchange average or any single spot market.
The event title sets the exact comparison: Bitcoin is labeled "Up" if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start, and "Down" if it finishes lower. The market closes around 4:00 PM ET, and the resolution source is the Chainlink data stream at data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Because the rule uses the beginning and ending readings of that defined time range, small moves near either timestamp can matter.
Bitcoin can move quickly over short periods, and this market isolates one short interval rather than a full day or week. The uncertainty comes from whether price action during that four-hour span ends slightly higher or lower than it began, which can hinge on volatility, macro headlines, or crypto-specific trading flows. Readers care because the payoff depends on a precise data feed and a precise clock, not just on the general direction of the market.
Anything that pushes BTC/USD sharply during the window can change the result: a sudden risk-on or risk-off move, a large liquidation, an ETF-related headline, or a sharp swing in broader crypto sentiment. Since the market resolves on Chainlink’s BTC/USD stream, the exact feed readings at the start and end of the window are what matter most. Even a brief spike or dip near the measurement times can decide the outcome if the price finishes on the other side of the opening level.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
+0.1%
24h Vol
$147.7K
Liquidity
$164.8K
Spread
0%
7/1/2026
View marketBefore resolution, the key things to verify are the exact start and end timestamps in ET and the Chainlink BTC/USD stream used as the source of truth. The market does not resolve by looking at a different exchange, a composite website quote, or an intraday chart unless it matches the specified Chainlink data feed. If there is any ambiguity, the reader should check the posted rules and confirm the opening and closing readings for the stated window, since those are what determine "Up" versus "Down".
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $12.7K in 24h volume.
Track live crypto prediction markets covering Bitcoin price targets, ETF approvals, regulation changes, and major blockchain events across the prediction market ecosystem.
Up
0%
Down
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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