
+0.1%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24h Vol
$244.5K
Liquidity
$620.6K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View marketWorld
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, and $48.1 in liquidity.
Probability
6%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$48.1
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
5.5%
Change
-39%
High
44.5%
Low
5.5%
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC moved from 44.5% to 5.5% over the last month, trading between 5.5% and 44.5%.
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market is about a Chinese Super League match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Chongqing Tonglianglong FC, with the spread set at Tianjin -2.5 goals. In plain terms, Tianjin must win by at least three goals for the Tianjin side to resolve this market; any smaller win, draw, or Chongqing result goes the other way.
The title names Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5), which is a standard handicap line used in soccer markets to test not just who wins, but by how much. The market description says the game is scheduled for June 27 at 8:00 AM ET and will resolve to Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC only if they win by 3 or more goals; otherwise it resolves to Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. The match outcome is judged on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, not extra time or penalties.
The uncertainty here is not simply which team wins, but whether Tianjin can produce a large enough margin to clear a 2.5-goal spread. That makes the market more sensitive to team strength, lineup choices, and game state than a straight win-loss market, which is why the price can differ sharply from a basic match pick. The gap between the two outcomes reflects how unlikely or plausible a three-goal Tianjin victory is viewed to be.
Anything that changes expectations for goal margin can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, injuries, suspensions, or late changes in squad strength. A fast early goal for Tianjin, a red card, or a lopsided first-half score would matter more here than in a normal win market because the spread requires a three-goal finish. On the other hand, a defensive setup from Chongqing or a tight first half would tend to reduce the chance of Tianjin covering -2.5.
The current market price implies roughly a 6% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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+0.1%
24h Vol
$244.5K
Liquidity
$620.6K
Spread
0%
10/4/2026
View marketThe key source of truth is the official final score published on csl-china.com, with the market also allowing official governing-body statistics or credible reporting if final match stats are delayed by more than two hours after the event ends. Readers should verify that the match is completed in regular time only, since stoppage time counts but extra time does not. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no make-up match, the market resolves 50–50, so the final fixture status matters as much as the score itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 6%, and $48.1 in liquidity.
Track live world event prediction markets focused on geopolitics, international relations, global conflicts, diplomacy, and major worldwide developments.
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
5.5%
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
94.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 27, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for June 27 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Chongqing Tonglianglong FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on csl-china.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 6%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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