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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
+15.5%
High
59.5%
Low
34%
paiN moved from 34% to 49.5% over the last month, trading between 34% and 59.5%.
paiN price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market asks whether Astralis can beat paiN by at least four rounds on Map 2 in their IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Counter-Strike match. Because the bet is tied to one map’s round margin rather than the series winner, it hinges on how competitive that specific map becomes, not just who takes the match. The close timing and map-specific rule make it especially sensitive to vetoes, side starts, and any swing in form once the second map begins.
The event is the Astralis vs. paiN match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market resolves only from the final round score on Map 2: Astralis wins the market if it finishes Map 2 ahead by 4 or more rounds, and paiN wins otherwise. Overtime counts in the round total, and the market is separate from the overall match result, so the series winner does not matter unless it affects the Map 2 score.
Round handicaps create uncertainty because a team can win a map without covering the spread, or lose the map while still keeping the margin within the handicap. Astralis and paiN are both established Counter-Strike names, so readers may care about whether the Danish side can create a clear buffer rather than scrape by in a tight map. The disagreement here is not just who plays better overall, but whether Map 2 will be decided by a narrow edge or a comfortable round difference.
The biggest drivers are the map veto, the starting sides on Map 2, and any roster or role changes that affect how well each team begins on attack or defense. If the map choice favors one side’s best prepared map pool, that can materially change whether a 4-round cover looks likely or fragile. A one-sided opening half, a quick momentum swing, or overtime are also important because the market is decided by the exact round total, not by map winner alone.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Check that Map 2 is actually played to completion, because the rules say incomplete maps, forfeits, walkovers, defaults, cancellations, or long delays can lead to a 50-50 resolution. The source of truth is official HLTV results, so the key item is the final published Map 2 score rather than a live broadcast estimate. Readers should also verify that the match stayed on the originally scheduled event path, since the deadline and resolution depend on the map being completed within the stated window.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $5.1K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Astralis
0%
paiN
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Astralis's round total on Map 2 exceeds paiN's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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