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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.9K in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
50%
Low
38%
Astralis moved from 50% to 49.5% over the last day, trading between 38% and 50%.
Astralis price history from Polymarket CLOB.
35 points
This market is about the round margin on Map 3 in Astralis vs paiN at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It does not care who wins the map or the match overall, only whether Astralis finish Map 3 ahead by at least four rounds. Because it is tied to a specific map in a best-of-series, lineup choices, veto order, and how competitive the map is can matter as much as the final match winner.
The question here is simple: on Map 3 of the Astralis-paiN match, will Astralis win by 4 rounds or more, or will they fail to clear that spread? The market is set to resolve from the official Map 3 round score for this Counter-Strike match in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, originally scheduled for June 8 at 8:00 AM ET. If Map 3 is completed on rounds played, that score controls the outcome even if the rest of the match later ends in a forfeit, default, or disqualification.
A round handicap market is narrower than a normal match-winner market, so it asks a different question about how lopsided one map might be. Astralis and paiN can be evenly matched overall while still producing a decisive Map 3 for one side, especially if the map pool or veto sequence creates a favorable pick. Readers should care about the exact margin because this market turns on how competitive that single map is, not on the series result itself.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 3’s scoreline can move this market, especially confirmed map picks, veto order, and any roster or role changes before the match. If Astralis are expected to land on a strong map for their style, the handicap becomes more plausible; if paiN secure a comfortable map or the series looks likely to be close, the market leans the other way. A quick 2-0 or a drawn-out series also matters only insofar as it changes whether Map 3 is played and how competitive it is once it starts.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.7K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The key thing to verify is whether Map 3 is actually played to completion, because the market resolves to 50-50 if the map is not completed or is decided by forfeit, default, walkover, or disqualification instead of by rounds on the server. The official source of truth is HLTV, and the market only uses the final Map 3 round score from that source, with a fallback to a 50-50 resolution if HLTV does not post final results within the stated window after the event. If the match schedule shifts, check whether Map 3 still finishes within the seven-day deadline and whether the final score reflects completed rounds rather than a procedural result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $1.9K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Astralis
50%
paiN
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Astralis's round total on Map 3 exceeds paiN's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "paiN". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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