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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $2.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
+1.5%
High
50%
Low
48%
Over moved from 48% to 49.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 48% and 50%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
18 points
This market is about the third map, if the Astralis vs. paiN match reaches one, at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the series, but whether Map 3 finishes with 22 or more total rounds played, including any overtime. Because the line sits right around regulation territory, map length and overtime are what matter most here.
Astralis and paiN are scheduled to meet in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the market originally set around June 8 at 8:00AM ET. The settlement depends only on the combined round count on Map 3: 22 or more rounds is Over, 21 or fewer is Under, and an exact 21.5 style split is handled 50-50 under the market rules. If Map 3 is not completed by rounds played, or the match is delayed or canceled beyond the stated window, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to a side.
A Counter-Strike map can end in a quick regulation score or stretch into overtime, so the same matchup can produce very different total-round outcomes. Astralis and paiN are both established teams in a major-stage setting, which makes map vetoes, side balance, and overall competitiveness important to anyone trying to judge whether a third map would run short or long. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether Map 3 would be a routine finish or a scrappy, closely contested map.
The biggest driver is whether the match actually reaches Map 3, since no third map means no round-total outcome at all under the rules. If earlier maps look one-sided, the market may lean away from an extended series; if the teams trade maps tightly, traders may expect a fuller Map 3 and possibly overtime. Any official roster change, substitute, veto pattern, or news affecting which maps each team is likely to play can also matter because the total rounds depend heavily on map choice and matchup style.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
The most important thing to verify is that Map 3 is actually played to completion, because forfeits, walkovers, defaults, cancellations, and long delays all have special 50-50 handling here. Readers should also check the official match schedule and the tournament’s result source for the final Map 3 round score, since that score alone determines settlement. If the series ends before a third map, the market will not resolve on match winner or map winner, only on the rules for whether a completed Map 3 exists.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $2.7K in 24h volume.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
Over
50%
Under
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Astralis and paiN in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 8:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the total number of rounds played within Map 3 of this match (the combined round score of both teams on that single map), and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Over" if the combined number of rounds played by both teams on Map 3, including any overtime, is greater than 21.5. This market will resolve to "Under" if the combined number of rounds played is less than 21.5. If the combined number of rounds played is exactly 21.5, this market will resolve 50-50. Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to "Over" or "Under". If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round total regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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