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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $2.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-2%
High
52%
Low
50%
Under moved from 52% to 50% over the full available history, trading between 50% and 52%.
Under price history from Polymarket CLOB.
3 points
This market is about the third map, if the Astralis vs. paiN match reaches one, at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. The key question is not who wins the series, but whether Map 3 finishes with 22 or more total rounds played, including any overtime. Because the line sits right around regulation territory, map length and overtime are what matter most here.
Astralis and paiN are scheduled to meet in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, with the market originally set around June 8 at 8:00AM ET. The settlement depends only on the combined round count on Map 3: 22 or more rounds is Over, 21 or fewer is Under, and an exact 21.5 style split is handled 50-50 under the market rules. If Map 3 is not completed by rounds played, or the match is delayed or canceled beyond the stated window, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to a side.
A Counter-Strike map can end in a quick regulation score or stretch into overtime, so the same matchup can produce very different total-round outcomes. Astralis and paiN are both established teams in a major-stage setting, which makes map vetoes, side balance, and overall competitiveness important to anyone trying to judge whether a third map would run short or long. The market is essentially pricing disagreement over whether Map 3 would be a routine finish or a scrappy, closely contested map.
The biggest driver is whether the match actually reaches Map 3, since no third map means no round-total outcome at all under the rules. If earlier maps look one-sided, the market may lean away from an extended series; if the teams trade maps tightly, traders may expect a fuller Map 3 and possibly overtime. Any official roster change, substitute, veto pattern, or news affecting which maps each team is likely to play can also matter because the total rounds depend heavily on map choice and matchup style.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View market