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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $781.8 in 24h volume, and $711.9 in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$781.8
Liquidity
$711.9
This market tracks the round handicap on Map 2 of G2 vs BIG at the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2. It is not about the match winner or the series score; it is about whether G2 can finish Map 2 ahead by 4 or more rounds on the completed map. Because the outcome depends on a single map, vetoes, map choice, and how close the map stays all matter more here than the overall series result.
The question is simple: on Map 2 of this Counter-Strike match, does G2 beat BIG by at least four rounds, or not? If G2’s Map 2 round total exceeds BIG’s by 4 or more, the market resolves to G2; otherwise it resolves to BIG. The description says the match was initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00 PM ET, and the official resolution source is HLTV.
Handicap markets like this one focus on margin, not just who wins, so a close map can push the result one way even if the series looks evenly matched. G2 and BIG are established Counter-Strike teams, and in a stage format like IEM Cologne, map order, veto preferences, and side balance can create a real gap between a narrow win and a wider round spread. The market is essentially pricing whether Map 2 will be competitive enough to stay within three rounds or whether G2 can pull away.
The biggest drivers are the actual map selection for Map 2, the live pace of rounds, and whether either team builds an early lead that makes a 4-round margin more likely. Changes in roster availability, substitutions, or a late lineup issue would also matter, since Counter-Strike map handicaps are sensitive to team strength on a specific day and map. Because overtime counts in the round total, a tight regulation game that goes long can still swing the handicap outcome.
The current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.4K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketBefore this market resolves, readers should verify that Map 2 is actually played to completion and that HLTV posts the final round score. The rules are specific: if Map 2 is not completed, is decided by forfeit/default, or the match is canceled or delayed beyond 7 days without Map 2 finishing, the market resolves 50-50 instead of to either team. The most important ambiguity to check is whether the official result source confirms a full Map 2 score, since that score alone controls the outcome here.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, $781.8 in 24h volume, and $711.9 in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
48%
BIG
52%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 2 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 2 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 2 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 2 exceeds BIG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 2 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 2 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 2 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 2 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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