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Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketEsports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $7.7K in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$7.7K
This market is about the third map of the G2 vs BIG series at IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, and it is only about the round margin on Map 3. Because the contract splits the outcome on a 3.5-round handicap, even a narrow Map 3 win can leave the market on BIG, while a larger win for G2 resolves it to G2.
The specific question is whether G2 will beat BIG by 4 or more rounds on Map 3 of this Counter-Strike match, which was initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00 PM ET. The market does not care who wins the map or the match overall; it cares only about the final Map 3 round score, as played to completion. If Map 3 is not completed, is decided by forfeit/default, or the match is delayed beyond the stated window without a completed Map 3, the market resolves 50-50.
A 3.5-round handicap is a way to price not just who is stronger, but whether the gap is wide enough for a comfortable map win. In Counter-Strike, map outcomes can swing with vetoes, side balance, overtime, and momentum, so a team can win a map without clearing a four-round margin. That uncertainty is what makes this market distinct from a simple head-to-head winner market.
Anything that changes expectations for Map 3 specifically can move this market, especially the map veto and whether the series actually reaches a third map. Roster substitutions, stand-ins, illness, tactical changes, or a surprising map pick can matter because some teams are much stronger on certain maps than others. If the first two maps are one-sided, that can also affect whether Map 3 is expected to be played and how competitive it might be.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
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24h Vol
$41.3K
Liquidity
$7.6K
Spread
0%
12/31/2026
View marketThe key thing to verify is that Map 3 is officially played to completion and that HLTV posts a final round score, since that is the stated resolution source. Readers should check whether the series actually reaches Map 3, whether any overtime is included in the final score, and whether the result was decided by normal rounds rather than a walkover or default. If HLTV has not published final results within the fallback window, the market rules say a consensus of credible reporting can be used instead.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Map 3 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $7.7K in liquidity.
Track live esports prediction markets focused on competitive gaming tournaments, team performance, championship events, and major esports forecasting trends.
G2
49.5%
BIG
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between G2 and BIG in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 8 at 1:00PM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "G2" if G2 wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. G2's round total on Map 3 exceeds BIG's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "BIG". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.

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